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Public accountability index · Provisional v1.0

The Hague Return Accountability Index

Which countries actually return abducted children under the 1980 Hague Convention, and act in time — ranked on outcomes and timeliness, not on how much data they publish. Countries without enough outcome evidence are marked insufficient, not scored.

14Contracting Parties ranked (provisional)
89listed but not yet evaluable
39%global return rate, 2021 (all countries)
207 daysaverage resolution vs. 42-day aspiration

See the leaderboard How it's calculated

How to read this page. This is a data and policy analysis resource — not legal advice and not a legal determination of treaty compliance. Scores are provisional. Countries publish very different amounts of data; missing data lowers confidence, not performance. Resolved is not the same as returned. Where data covers U.S.-related cases only it is labelled proxy. Any budget figures shown are estimated, not official government spending.

What this index measures

The Index ranks countries on what actually happens to children: whether return cases are resolved rather than left open, and whether the system acts in a timely way (location, court decision, enforcement). Return effectiveness (45%) and speed & enforcement (30%) are the primary drivers; cooperation (15%) and data quality (10%) follow. Transparency is deliberately not scored — publishing a survey tells you a country shows its work, not that it returns children — so it is shown only as context and feeds confidence.

The hard part is honesty about data. Per-country return outcomes are largely unpublished: HCCH reports outcomes only globally (39% returned in 2021), and the only per-country outcome/timeliness data is the U.S. State Department's U.S.-related-cases-only report. So today only 14 countries have enough actual-outcome evidence to be ranked; the other 89 are marked insufficient data — the honest answer, not a transparency score. Proxy outcomes are small-sample and shrunk toward a baseline so a country that resolved 4 of 4 U.S. cases does not score 100.
45%
Return effectiveness — did children actually return — U.S.-proxy outcomes, small-N shrunk
30%
Speed & enforcement — timeliness of location, decision and enforcement
15%
Cooperation & compliance — official cooperation findings and concerns
10%
Data quality & confidence — strength of the evidence behind the score
context
Transparency (context) — HCCH data participation — context only, not scored in v2
context
Cost efficiency (context) — estimated public cost — shown on page, excluded from ranking

Ranking tiers

1 Tier 1: Strong measured return performance

Provisional overall score ≥ 80.

2 Tier 2: Good measured performance

Provisional overall score ≥ 65.

3 Tier 3: Mixed measured performance

Provisional overall score ≥ 50.

4 Tier 4: Weak performance / documented concern

Provisional overall score below 50.

Insufficient data

Did not respond to HCCH surveys and no other per-country evidence — listed but not ranked.

Top performers

Best measured performance
Israel
73 / 100
Best return effectiveness (U.S.-proxy)
Israel
63.3 / 100
Best speed & enforcement (U.S.-proxy)
Israel
75 / 100
Best documented cooperation (U.S.-proxy)
Israel
80 / 100

All "best" figures are U.S.-proxy, small-sample and shrunk toward a baseline — indicative, not definitive. Only 14 of 103 Contracting Parties have enough outcome evidence to appear here at all.

Countries of concern

Contracting Parties carrying a U.S. Department of State pattern-of-noncompliance citation for CY2024 (a discrete official finding, U.S.-related cases only). This is not a legal finding of treaty violation, and each country has a right of response before any concern label is finalised.

Poland noncompliance (U.S.-proxy)
Overall 37.8 · Tier 4 · return effect. 30 · Medium confidence
Brazil noncompliance (U.S.-proxy)
Overall 37.8 · Tier 4 · return effect. 30 · Medium confidence
Argentina noncompliance (U.S.-proxy)
Overall 37.8 · Tier 4 · return effect. 30 · Medium confidence
Romania noncompliance (U.S.-proxy)
Overall 37.8 · Tier 4 · return effect. 30 · Medium confidence
Peru noncompliance (U.S.-proxy)
Overall 37.8 · Tier 4 · return effect. 30 · Medium confidence
Ecuador noncompliance (U.S.-proxy)
Overall 37.8 · Tier 4 · return effect. 30 · Medium confidence
Bulgaria noncompliance (U.S.-proxy)
Overall 37.8 · Tier 4 · return effect. 30 · Medium confidence
Honduras noncompliance (U.S.-proxy)
Overall 37.8 · Tier 4 · return effect. 30 · Medium confidence
Republic of Korea noncompliance (U.S.-proxy)
Overall 37.8 · Tier 4 · return effect. 30 · Medium confidence
Belize noncompliance (U.S.-proxy)
Overall 37.8 · Tier 4 · return effect. 30 · Medium confidence
Bahamas noncompliance (U.S.-proxy)
Overall 34.3 · Tier 4 · return effect. 30 · Medium confidence

Global leaderboard

Sort by any column; filter by region, EU status, tier, confidence. Return effectiveness & speed drive the score; transparency is shown as context only (last column). px = U.S.-perspective proxy. Only countries with actual outcome/timeliness evidence appear here; 89 others are listed as insufficient below.

Tier Confidence
1 Israel 73 2Tier 2 · Good measured performance 63.3 px 75 px 80 px Medium 100
2 Germany 68.9 2Tier 2 · Good measured performance 54.3 px 75 px 80 px High 100
3 Thailand 52.2 3Tier 3 · Mixed measured performance 46.7 px 60 px Medium 0
4 Poland 37.8 4Tier 4 · Weak performance / documented concern 30 px 35 px 25 px Medium 92.5
5 Brazil 37.8 4Tier 4 · Weak performance / documented concern 30 px 35 px 25 px Medium 90
6 Argentina 37.8 4Tier 4 · Weak performance / documented concern 30 px 35 px 25 px Medium 100
7 Romania 37.8 4Tier 4 · Weak performance / documented concern 30 px 35 px 25 px Medium 100
8 Peru 37.8 4Tier 4 · Weak performance / documented concern 30 px 35 px 25 px Medium 80
9 Ecuador 37.8 4Tier 4 · Weak performance / documented concern 30 px 35 px 25 px Medium 80
10 Bulgaria 37.8 4Tier 4 · Weak performance / documented concern 30 px 35 px 25 px Medium 100
11 Honduras 37.8 4Tier 4 · Weak performance / documented concern 30 px 35 px 25 px Medium 70
12 Republic of Korea 37.8 4Tier 4 · Weak performance / documented concern 30 px 35 px 25 px Medium 100
13 Belize 37.8 4Tier 4 · Weak performance / documented concern 30 px 35 px 25 px Medium 77.5
14 Bahamas 34.3 4Tier 4 · Weak performance / documented concern 30 px 35 px 25 px Medium 0

Listed but not yet evaluable (89)

Contracting Parties that did not respond to the HCCH statistical survey and have no other uniform per-country evidence. They receive a page and a set of FOIA questions rather than a score.

Albania · Andorra · Armenia · Australia · Austria · Barbados · Belarus · Belgium · Bolivia (Plurinational State of) · Bosnia and Herzegovina · Botswana · Burkina Faso · Cabo Verde · Canada · Chile · China (People's Republic of) · Colombia · Costa Rica · Croatia · Cuba · Cyprus · Czechia · Denmark · Dominican Republic · El Salvador · Estonia · Fiji · Finland · France · Gabon · Georgia · Greece · Guatemala · Guinea · Guyana · Hungary · Iceland · Iraq · Ireland · Italy · Jamaica · Japan · Kazakhstan · Latvia · Lesotho · Lithuania · Luxembourg · Malta · Mauritius · Mexico · Monaco · Montenegro · Morocco · Netherlands (Kingdom of the) · New Zealand · Nicaragua · North Macedonia · Norway · Pakistan · Panama · Paraguay · Philippines · Portugal · Republic of Moldova · Russian Federation · Saint Kitts and Nevis · San Marino · Serbia · Seychelles · Singapore · Slovakia · Slovenia · South Africa · Spain · Sri Lanka · Sweden · Switzerland · Trinidad and Tobago · Tunisia · Türkiye · Turkmenistan · Ukraine · United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland · United States of America · Uruguay · Uzbekistan · Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) · Zambia · Zimbabwe

Methodology & calculation

Verified twice at build time. Every published score passes an automated raw-data-vs-source check and a formula-vs-displayed-score check (103 countries; current build: raw ✓ pass, formula ✓ pass). Each country page carries its own transparent calculation object; all are in calculations.json.
Budget note. No country publishes a Central-Authority budget line. Where enough is disclosed, country pages show a transparent Level-B/C estimate of cost-per-returned-child (wide ranges, low confidence, proxy denominator). Because these are estimates, Cost Efficiency is deliberately excluded from the cross-country ranking — updated only where budget data is sufficiently reliable.

Full write-up: ranking methodology (with the reconciliation of the earlier T07 compliance-index draft). In brief:

Return effectivenessdid children actually return — U.S.-proxy outcomes, small-N shrunk
45%
Speed & enforcementtimeliness of location, decision and enforcement
30%
Cooperation & complianceofficial cooperation findings and concerns
15%
Data quality & confidencestrength of the evidence behind the score
10%
Transparency (context)HCCH data participation — context only, not scored in v2
context
Cost efficiency (context)estimated public cost — shown on page, excluded from ranking
context
Formulas, normalization & missing-data treatment
overall (provisional v1.0) = Transparency & Participation score − 15 if the country carries a U.S. pattern-of-noncompliance citation (and it is capped below Tier 1) → transparency is the ONLY category measurable uniformly and monotonically across all countries today. Return-effectiveness, speed, cost and full cooperation are null for most states, so they are shown per-country but do NOT move the cross-country sort (that would bias the ranking toward the handful of countries the U.S. happens to report on). As those categories become uniformly published, the full 6-category weighting (35/20/15/15/10/5) takes over — see the methodology page. transparency = 40·(answered 2021 survey) + 30·(share of prior HCCH studies answered; years-not-yet-a-party excluded) + 15·(reports both incoming & outgoing flows) + 15·(reports access cases) confidence = evidence × (0.35 + 0.65 × breadth) evidence = 0.6·mean_tier + 0.4·freshness # E1=1.0, E2=0.85, E3=0.7 breadth = (# of 6 categories with any evidence) / 6 gate: confidence ≥ 0.35 to receive a provisional score rules: unknown → null (never 0). "resolved" ≠ "returned". proxy data never aggregated into a global rate.

Disclaimers

Sources

SourcePublisherTierDate
Status table — 1980 Child Abduction Convention (cid=24)Hague Conference on Private International Law (HCCH)E1 · official2026-07-05
Prel. Doc. No 19A — Statistical study of applications made in 2021 (5th Global Study, updated Sept 2024)HCCH (Prof. Nigel Lowe & Victoria Stephens)E1 · official2024-09
Central Authorities directory — 1980 Convention (cid=24)HCCHE1 · official2026-07-05
Annual Report on International Child Abduction 2025 (reporting on calendar year 2024)U.S. Department of State, Office of Children's IssuesE2 · proxy2025
1980 Hague Convention, Article 11 (six-week decision aspiration)HCCHE1 · official1980
Bundeshaushalt 2026, Einzelplan 07 (Kapitel 0718 — Bundesamt für Justiz) + BfJ 2025 statistics press releaseDeutscher Bundestag / Bundesamt für JustizE2 · official2026
Office of Children's Issues (Bureau of Consular Affairs) — structure & IPCA reportU.S. Department of StateE2 · official2025
Thailand Central Authority — Office of the Attorney General, International Affairs Department (Child abduction in Thailand)UK Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office / HCCH Central Authorities directoryE2 · official2024
Average annual wages / general government compensation (loaded-cost benchmark)OECDE3 · secondary2024

Download the data

rankings.csv rankings.json countries.json sources.json methodology.json

The Hague Return Accountability Index is a provisional analytical resource published by SafeReturn Alliance. It is not affiliated with the HCCH or any government. It is not legal advice and not a legal determination of Convention compliance. Version 1.0 · data year 2021 · updated 2026-07-06.